By Korollos Shalaby
Critics of the Fed have long warned that quantitative easing
could result in dangerously bloated balance sheets at the Central Bank, but it
has never been clear why the internal finances of the Fed should have such an
effect.
Now, the president of the Dallas Fed, Richard Fisher, argues
that the health of the Fed's balance sheet could affect the health of the
federal government, and even the regulatory role of the Federal Reserve.
Under three rounds of quantitative easing and various other
market support programs, the Fed has purchased a whopping $ 2 trillion in
Treasuries and mortgage bonds since the financial crisis hit in 2008. At that
time, the Central Bank accounted for 900 million in bonds and securities on its
balance sheet. Those bonds had accumulated over the years in "open market
operations" which is the buying and selling when the Fed makes its policy
changes.
Fisher's two favorite subjects are the virtues of his
adopted state tax and fiscal sins of the legislature in Washington DC, which
ran as a Democratic Senate candidate in 1994. He also mocks California's
finances in a story that imagines the governor of California, Jerry Brown,
spending millions on environmental impact studies after a confrontation he had
with a coyote earlier, we know that the governor of Texas, Rick Perry shot a
coyote on a morning walk. ("Bullet Cost: 25 cents. Cost to taxpayers:
zero)."
Fisher, who currently has no vote in the Open Market
Committee of the Federal Reserve, has long argued that further bond buying is
useless until Congress balances the budget. He insists that QE is not achieving
its stated goal of reducing the unemployment rate. Other critics, such as bond
investor Jeffrey Gundlach, echoed his claims that quantitative easing has
crashed into the law of diminishing returns.
Fisher goes further, saying that QE is not only useless, but
is potentially toxic.
"The question is how far we are willing to go and how
big will the balance sheet that we will be able to leverage before we run the
risk of not only (damage) the financial welfare of the Fed, but also the
country", Fisher said during a question and answer session after his
speech at the Chamber of Commerce in Gainesville.
Basically, if the Fed maintains its mortgage and Treasury
bonds as yields rise, it will have to adjust its portfolio with the markets. To
remain solvent after a certain level, the central bank should stop sending cash
to the Treasury. In 2010, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warned that the
federal government could become increasingly dependent on remittances generated
by the Fed's balance sheet.
Korollos Shalaby is a nationally acknowledged
mortgage expert with over 6 years experience as a loss mitigation expert and
mortgage finance consultant. He has owned several companies and has been at the
forefront of all lending and banking practices since 2006.
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